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Nathan Powell
Partner 合伙人 | Legal
Hong Kong
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Nathan Powell
Partner 合伙人
Hong Kong
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Insight
21 January 2022
Hong Kong, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands
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经历过翻天覆地的2020年及忙碌的2021年后,奥杰亚洲合伙人Nathan Powell对2022年的前景持乐观态度。作为奥杰全球公司业务法律团队主管,驻守香港的Nathan向《亚洲法律杂志》透露,2021年总体上是繁忙的一年,特别是并购(M&A)活动。点击此处阅读全文。
“2021年到目前为止,亚太地区的并购活动以及相关的债务融资继续走上了我们在2020年下半年看到的上升轨道。应对疫情的封城措施相继取消,加上疫苗的推进,地缘政治风险减少及较低的贷款利率,都促成了并购活动的增加。
中国上市公司透过私募股权基金私有化的情况很普遍,原因众多,包括外界认为此等上市公司的股价低迷,让私募股权经理有机会提出将它们私有化的建议。我们一直积极参与此等交易。
我们同时亦参与了很多私人交易。近年来,私募股权面临的挑战是退市环境的改善,这意味着其中一些与保荐人剥离现有投资有关。
就新的目标而言,科技、金融科技和医疗等被视为具有抗疫韧性和面向未来的板块,是那些受到私募股权公司垂青的行业之一。”
2021年的一大趋势是特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)的崛起,它们协助公司进入公开股票市场,围绕它们的监管规定亦随之出现。Nathan认为,这一趋势将持续到2022年。
他说:“2021年,支持SPAC的亚洲保荐人激增,它们认为这是进入美国资本市场的一种快速而廉价的方式。 但目前尚不清楚美国证券交易委员会如何透过政策应对中国的SPAC,这情况至今仍是未知之数。
如果这个监管瓶颈得到解除,2022年在亚洲SPAC并购交易可能会大幅上升。 这将为私募股权行业带来更多的交易竞争-随着大量SPAC进入收购清单,这可能会推高价格。
与此同时,亚洲区的证券交易所一直希望成为纽约以外的另一个上市选择。新加坡交易所现在允许SPAC上市,香港交易所正在进行公众咨询。因此,我们预计SPAC将继续在地区融资和交易中发挥作用。”
每位离岸律师密切关注的另一个重点,就是中国大陆的发展和迅速变化的情况,尤其是不断变化的监管环境和房地产行业的演变。
Nathan说“每个人都在密切关注中国房地产行业目前的发展;我们预期不良债务状况将会上升,同时更多人求助于开曼群岛和英属维尔京群岛(BVI)法律提供的重组工具。过去10年,中国内地的房地产行业一直是亚洲资本市场和银团贷款市场的主要贡献者。这方面的进展,以及中国政府采取的政策,可能会在中短期内对流动性和融资产生重大影响。”
总体而言,Nathan对2022年的前景持乐观态度。
他接着说:“展望2022年,离岸公司在交易方面有大量机会。例如,过去几年的一个有趣的趋势是私募股权公司在亚洲寻找收购目标时,更加注重地区性。
传统上,主要市场一直是中国大陆,但我们近期收到对东南亚交易的项目亦有所增加,那里的私募股权公司正瞄准高增长市场的高估值,而国际银行热衷于支持这些交易。我们预计这一趋势将持续下去。
此外,亚洲有越来越多的“非传统”债务融资,包括一些通过私募股权基金建立的方式,这些基金的投资战略是挑战传统的债务提供者,而它们通常是根据开曼群岛的法律建立的。”
有几个因素既是机遇但亦需要警惕,其一是该地区对绿色发展的日益关注。
Nathan说到:“2022年一个值得关注的有趣发展将是持续关注气候变化的影响。大多数市场参与者一致认为,我们将看到在债务文件中纳入所谓的'ESG条款'的情况会有所增加。在过去的几年里,ESG已经纳入到贷款人和借款人的战略业务计划和优先事项中。随着我们向前发展,这一趋势将变得越来越重要。"
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